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MVP Investment

$9K - $12K
6-10 weeks
Engineering
$8,000
Cloud Hosting
$240
SaaS Stack
$300
Domain & Legal
$100

6mo ROI

2-4x

3yr ROI

10-20x

Lightweight AI tools can reach profitability quickly. At $500/mo average contract, 20 customers = $10K MRR by 6mo, 200+ by 3yr.

Talent Scout

J

Jinqi Wu

Nanjing University

S

Sishuo Chen

Alibaba

C

Chaoyou Fu

Nanjing University

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Advertising experts on LinkedIn & GitHub

References (36)

[1]
Delayed Feedback Modeling for Post-Click Gross Merchandise Volume Prediction: Benchmark, Insights and Approaches
2026Xinyu Li, Sishuo Chen et al.
[2]
See Beyond a Single View: Multi-Attribution Learning Leads to Better Conversion Rate Prediction
2025Sishuo Chen, Zhangming Chan et al.
[3]
RankMixer: Scaling Up Ranking Models in Industrial Recommenders
2025Jie Zhu, Zhifang Fan et al.
[4]
LiDDA: Data Driven Attribution at LinkedIn
2025John Bencina, E. Aykutlug et al.
[5]
Click A, Buy B: Rethinking Conversion Attribution in E- Commerce Recommendations
2025Xiangyu Zeng, Amit Jaspal et al.
[6]
HoME: Hierarchy of Multi-Gate Experts for Multi-Task Learning at Kuaishou
2024Xu Wang, Jiangxia Cao et al.
[7]
Online Conversion Rate Prediction via Multi-Interval Screening and Synthesizing under Delayed Feedback
2024Qiming Liu, Xiang Ao et al.
[8]
Entire Space Cascade Delayed Feedback Modeling for Effective Conversion Rate Prediction
2023Yunfeng Zhao, Xu Yan et al.
[9]
AdaTT: Adaptive Task-to-Task Fusion Network for Multitask Learning in Recommendations
2023Danwei Li, Zhengyu Zhang et al.
[10]
Towards Understanding the Overfitting Phenomenon of Deep Click-Through Rate Models
2022Zhaorui Zhang, Xiang-Rong Sheng et al.
[11]
Joint Optimization of Ranking and Calibration with Contextualized Hybrid Model
2022Xiang-Rong Sheng, Jingyue Gao et al.
[12]
ESCM2: Entire Space Counterfactual Multi-Task Model for Post-Click Conversion Rate Estimation
2022Hao Wang, Tai-Wei Chang et al.
[13]
Asymptotically Unbiased Estimation for Delayed Feedback Modeling via Label Correction
2022Yu Chen, Jiaqi Jin et al.
[14]
Auto-Lambda: Disentangling Dynamic Task Relationships
2022Shikun Liu, Stephen James et al.
[15]
Efficient and Effective Multi-task Grouping via Meta Learning on Task Combinations
2022Xiaozhuang Song, Shun Zheng et al.
[16]
CausalMTA: Eliminating the User Confounding Bias for Causal Multi-touch Attribution
2021Di Yao, Chang Gong et al.
[17]
Efficiently Identifying Task Groupings for Multi-Task Learning
2021Christopher Fifty, Ehsan Amid et al.
[18]
Real Negatives Matter: Continuous Training with Real Negatives for Delayed Feedback Modeling
2021Siyu Gu, Xiang-Rong Sheng et al.
[19]
Capturing Delayed Feedback in Conversion Rate Prediction via Elapsed-Time Sampling
2020Jia-Qi Yang, Xiang Li et al.
[20]
CAMTA: Causal Attention Model for Multi-touch Attribution
2020Sachin Kumar, Garima Gupta et al.

Showing 20 of 36 references

Founder's Pitch

"MAC provides a conversion rate prediction benchmark featuring multi-attribution labels, significantly enhancing accuracy in online advertising."

Advertising TechnologyScore: 9View PDF ↗

Commercial Viability Breakdown

0-10 scale

High Potential

3/4 signals

7.5

Quick Build

4/4 signals

10

Series A Potential

4/4 signals

10

Sources used for this analysis

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Why It Matters

The research addresses a crucial gap in conversion rate prediction by providing a benchmark dataset with multiple attribution mechanisms, enabling more accurate and holistic modeling of user behavior in online advertising.

Product Angle

Productize by creating a SaaS platform offering access to multi-attribution CVR prediction models and tools for ad optimization, integrating MAC's insights and PyMAL's features.

Disruption

This approach outperforms single-attribution models and could replace existing CVR prediction systems that fail to account for complex conversion paths.

Product Opportunity

The online advertising market is enormous, with increasing demand for precision targeting and conversion insight. Platforms and tools that provide better CVR predictions can significantly enhance ROI, attracting marketers and advertisers.

Use Case Idea

An ad-tech firm can use the MAC benchmark and PyMAL to improve advertising algorithms, creating more accurate bidding strategies and increasing ad performance for clients.

Science

The authors introduce a benchmark, MAC, and an accompanying library, PyMAL, for conversion rate prediction under multi-attribution learning. This includes conversion labels under various attribution mechanisms (last-click, first-click, linear, and DDA) to build better models that understand user interaction paths comprehensively.

Method & Eval

The MAC benchmark was tested against existing models and datasets, demonstrating significant performance improvement in prediction accuracy by using multi-attribution data.

Caveats

Potential limitations include the dependence on attribution models like DDA, which may vary in accuracy. Data volume could pose challenges in real-time applications.

Author Intelligence

Jinqi Wu

Nanjing University
jinqiwu001@gmail.com

Sishuo Chen

Alibaba
chensishuo.css@alibaba-inc.com

Chaoyou Fu

Nanjing University
bradyfu24@gmail.com